{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,11,19]],"date-time":"2025-11-19T13:04:38Z","timestamp":1763557478474,"version":"3.45.0"},"reference-count":82,"publisher":"Pensoft Publishers","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,11,19]],"date-time":"2025-11-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1763510400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["PK"],"abstract":"<jats:p>\n                    Newly discovered species are increasingly found to be threatened. For some, their formal description may already foretell their extinction, a phenomenon we here term the \u201cNasar Effect.\u201d This phenomenon is inspired by the tragic fate of Santiago Nasar, the protagonist of Gabriel Garc\u00eda M\u00e1rquez\u2019s Chronicle of a Death Foretold, whose impending death is known to everyone but himself. The Nasar Effect is particularly evident in climate-vulnerable ecosystems, where species may be projected for extinction based on dramatic climate-driven habitat loss. We illustrate the \u201cNasar Effect\u201d through the description of a new orchid species,\n                    <jats:italic>Lepanthes nasariana<\/jats:italic>\n                    (Lepanthes subsect. Breves), endemic to the cloud forests and p\u00e1ramos of the Western and Central Andes of Colombia, between 2,800 and 3,600 m elevation. The species inhabits mossy branches in shaded, humid environments and is most similar to\n                    <jats:italic>L. mefueensis<\/jats:italic>\n                    , from which it differs by its oblong-lanceolate leaves, falcate petal lobes, and narrowly ovate lip blades with an inflexed appendix, among other characters. Based on its current extent of occurrence (27,502 km\n                    <jats:sup>2<\/jats:sup>\n                    ) and area of occupancy (12,775 km\n                    <jats:sup>2<\/jats:sup>\n                    ),\n                    <jats:italic>L. nasariana<\/jats:italic>\n                    is preliminarily assessed as Least Concern (LC) following the IUCN Red List guidelines. However, species distribution models projected to 2090 under the SSP5\u20138.5 scenario indicate a 96% loss of suitable habitat, which would qualify the species as Critically Endangered (CR) under Criterion A3(c). Without immediate and concerted global efforts to mitigate emissions,\n                    <jats:italic>L. nasariana<\/jats:italic>\n                    exemplifies the potential fate of many species described from climate-vulnerable ecosystems, such as the high Andean mountains, where they may already be on a predestined short path to extinction.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3897\/phytokeys.266.161410","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,11,19]],"date-time":"2025-11-19T13:02:07Z","timestamp":1763557327000},"page":"219-240","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Chronicle of a death foretold: Lepanthes nasariana (Orchidaceae, Pleurothallidinae), a newly described high-Andean orchid facing a worst-case climate change scenario"],"prefix":"10.3897","volume":"266","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-4325-1232","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Juan Sebasti\u00e1n","family":"Moreno","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Fundaci\u00f3n Ecotonos, Cali, Colombia"},{"name":"Jard\u00edn Bot\u00e1nico de Cali, Fundaci\u00f3n Zool\u00f3gica de Cali, Cali, Colombia"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0005-1100-9056","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Angie Tatiana","family":"Herrera Cobo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Wildlife Conservation Society (WCS), Cali, Colombia"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-9029-3094","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Rub\u00e9n Dar\u00edo","family":"Palacio","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Fundaci\u00f3n Ecotonos, Cali, Colombia"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7657-8963","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Nicolas A.","family":"Hazzi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Universidad Industrial de Santander, Bucaramanga, Colombia"},{"name":"Fundaci\u00f3n Ecotonos, Cali, Colombia"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"2258","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,11,19]]},"reference":[{"key":"161410_B1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/1365-2745.13361"},{"key":"161410_B2","first-page":"171","article-title":"El cambio clim\u00e1tico y la distribuci\u00f3n espacial de las formaciones vegetales en Colombia.","volume":"16","author":"Alarc\u00f3n Hincapi\u00e9","year":"2013","journal-title":"Colombia Forestal"},{"key":"161410_B3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12862-025-02396-6"},{"key":"161410_B4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolmodel.2011.02.011"},{"key":"161410_B5","author":"Beentje","year":"2016"},{"key":"161410_B6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.12504"},{"key":"161410_B7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1098\/rsbl.2021.0007"},{"key":"161410_B8","first-page":"17","article-title":"Lepanthes elusiva \u2013 a new species of Lepanthes (Orchidaceae: Pleurothallidinae) from Tapant\u00ed Area in Cartago, Costa Rica.","volume":"5","author":"Bogar\u00edn Chaves","year":"2019","journal-title":"Die Orchidee"},{"key":"161410_B9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s41467-023-44321-9"},{"key":"161410_B10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/nph.19214"},{"key":"161410_B11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3389\/fevo.2021.661550"},{"key":"161410_B12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/nature11148"},{"key":"161410_B13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.21203\/rs.3.rs-2773328\/v1"},{"key":"161410_B14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tplants.2023.03.019"},{"key":"161410_B15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1237254"},{"key":"161410_B16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.15517\/lank.v12i1.18270"},{"key":"161410_B17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/ddi.12179"},{"key":"161410_B18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/geb.13721"},{"key":"161410_B19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/ece3.3704"},{"key":"161410_B20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.aax3100"},{"key":"161410_B21","author":"Dodson","year":"2011","journal-title":"Orchidaceae (Lepanthes and Affiliates). 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