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We consider three configurations of sizes training set-test set: 182-13,189-6, and 192-3. The results support the theory of the relationship between precipitation, relative humidity, and dengue incidence rate. We find that the performance of the models improves when the time series models are previously adjusted for each of the exogenous variables, and their forecasts are used to determine the future values of the dengue incidence rate. Additionally, we find that the configurations 189-6 and 192-3 present the most consistent results with regard to the model's performance in the training and test data sets.&lt;\/p&gt;<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.3934\/mbe.2024341","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,12,6]],"date-time":"2024-12-06T11:58:37Z","timestamp":1733486317000},"page":"7760-7782","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":2,"title":["Prescriptive temporal modeling approach using climate variables to forecast dengue incidence in C\u00f3rdoba, Colombia"],"prefix":"10.3934","volume":"21","author":[{"given":"Ever","family":"Medina","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Departamento de Matematicas y Estadistica, Universidad de Cordoba, Monteria 230002, Colombia"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Myladis R","family":"Cogollo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Departamento de Matematicas y Estadistica, Universidad de Cordoba, Monteria 230002, Colombia"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Gilberto","family":"Gonz\u00e1lez-Parra","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Mathematics, New Mexico Tech, New Mexico 87801, USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"2321","reference":[{"key":"key-10.3934\/mbe.2024341-1","unstructured":"<i>World Health Organization<\/i>, Dengue guias para el diagn\u00f3stico, tratamiento, prevenci\u00f3n y control: nueva edici\u00f3n, 2009. <ext-link ext-link-type=\"uri\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" xlink:href=\"https:\/\/apps.who.int\/iris\/handle\/10665\/44504\">https:\/\/apps.who.int\/iris\/handle\/10665\/44504<\/ext-link>"},{"key":"key-10.3934\/mbe.2024341-2","unstructured":"<i>Pan American Health Organization<\/i>, Dengue, 2022. <ext-link ext-link-type=\"uri\" xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.paho.org\/en\/topics\/dengue\">https:\/\/www.paho.org\/en\/topics\/dengue<\/ext-link>"},{"key":"key-10.3934\/mbe.2024341-3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"K. 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