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The Na\u00efve Bayes model is proposed to calculate the probability of suffering a stroke in the future, based on epidemiological data. Due to a new design, the model is capable to determine the probability of suffering a stroke given some risk factors. The proposed model allows to calculate the final probability of suffering a specific disease for the preventive prognosis of the stroke based on risk factors. Our model enables query the probability of suffering a stroke giving as parameter the presence or absence of a specific indication, also setting if the indication can take several values with its presence, degree or value. With the obtained results the physician will be able to promote patients healthy living habits in order to prevent future stroke events.<\/p>","DOI":"10.4018\/ijdsst.2013100103","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2014,4,23]],"date-time":"2014-04-23T09:20:46Z","timestamp":1398244846000},"page":"34-58","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":2,"title":["Application of Probabilistic Techniques for the Development of a Prognosis Model of Stroke Using Epidemiological Studies"],"prefix":"10.4018","volume":"5","author":[{"given":"Alejandro","family":"Rodr\u00edguez-Gonz\u00e1lez","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Bioinformatics at Centre for Plant Biotechnology and Genomics UPM-INIA, Polytechnic University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3296-0981","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Giner","family":"Alor-Hernandez","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Division of Research and Postgraduate Studies, Instituto Tecnol\u00f3gico de Orizaba, Orizaba, Veracruz, Mexico"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Miguel Angel","family":"Mayer","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Research Programme on Biomedical Informatics (GRIB), IMIM-Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Guillermo","family":"Cortes-Robles","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Division of Research and Postgraduate Studies, Instituto Tecnol\u00f3gico de Orizaba, Orizaba, Veracruz, Mexico"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yuliana","family":"Perez-Gallardo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Computer Science Department, University Carlos III of Madrid, Orizaba, Veracruz, Spain"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"2432","reference":[{"key":"ijdsst.2013100103-0","unstructured":"American Heart Association. 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