{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,10]],"date-time":"2026-06-10T15:23:26Z","timestamp":1781105006211,"version":"3.54.1"},"reference-count":28,"publisher":"IGI Global Scientific Publishing","issue":"1","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2016,1,1]]},"abstract":"<p>Sub-Saharan Africa is home to 24.7 million people living with HIV of an estimated total of 35.0 million people globally in 2013. It also accounts for almost 70% of the new HIV infections globally. In West Africa, Cote d'Ivoire has the highest HIV prevalence, or 3.7% of the 2012 population, and the two virus types (HIV-1 &amp; HIV-2) are present. From an epidemiological standpoint, these unique attributes make Cote d'Ivoire unique. At the same time, existing HIV\/AIDS modeling policies have being developed from the data of countries that do not have these peculiarities. This research develops a formal system dynamics model capturing the evolution of HIV\/AIDS in Cote d'Ivoire for four decades, starting in 1990. The findings include a development of HIV\/AIDS behavior pattern over time that led to the proposal of evidence-based policies.<\/p>","DOI":"10.4018\/ijsda.2016010104","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2016,1,25]],"date-time":"2016-01-25T11:44:40Z","timestamp":1453722280000},"page":"43-62","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":4,"title":["Reaching an AIDS-Free Generation in C\u00f4te d'Ivoire, Data Driven Policy Design for HIV\/AIDS Response Programs"],"prefix":"10.4018","volume":"5","author":[{"given":"Paulo","family":"Gon\u00e7alves","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Universit\u00e0 della Svizzera Italiana (USI), Lugano, Switzerland"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Simplice Takoubo","family":"Kamdem","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"USAID\/PEPFAR, Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"2432","reference":[{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-0","unstructured":"AIDS.gov. (n. d.). CD4 count. Retrieved from http:\/\/aids.gov\/hiv-aids-basics\/just-diagnosed-with-hiv-aids\/understand-your-test-results\/cd4-count\/"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-1","unstructured":"AIDSinfo. (n. d.). Online Database. Retrieved from www.aidsinfoonline.org"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-2","author":"F.Alexander","year":"2008","journal-title":"The AIDS Epidemic in Tanzania: A System Dynamic Approach for policy development"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1504\/IJISE.2012.046298"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"493","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJMoa1105243","article-title":"Prevention of HIV-1 infection with early antiretroviral therapy.","volume":"365","author":"M.Cohen","year":"2011","journal-title":"The New England Journal of Medicine"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/QAD.0000000000000237"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-6","unstructured":"(n. d.). Evidence[Joint United Nations Programme on HIV\/AIDS ] [UNAIDS] [. Geneva, Switzerland: The Investment Framework Study Group.]. Strategy and Results Department."},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Gartnett., . . .. (2011) Mathematical models in the evaluation of health programmes. The Lancet, 378(9790), 515\u2013525. Retrieved From http:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/journal\/01406736\/378\/9790","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(10)61505-X"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/00002030-200201250-00015"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-9","author":"N.Grassly","year":"2005","journal-title":"Policy and Practice, The future of the HIV pandemic"},{"issue":"5","key":"IJSDA.2016010104-10","first-page":"378","article-title":"The future of the HIV pandemic.","volume":"83","author":"N. C.Grassly","year":"2005","journal-title":"Bulletin of the World Health Organization"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Hassanien, A. E., Azar, A. T., Snasel, V., Kacprzyk, J., & Abawajy, J. H. (2015) Big Data in Complex Systems: Challenges and Opportunities. Studies in Big Data (Vol. 9). Springer-Verlag GmbH Berlin\/Heidelberg.","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-319-11056-1"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-12","unstructured":"Insititut National de la Statistique (INS) & ICF International. (2002). Enqu\u00eate D\u00e9mographique et de la Sant\u00e9 et \u00e0 Indicateurs Multiples de C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire 2011-2012. Calverton, Maryland, USA."},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-13","author":"F.Johnson","year":"2005","journal-title":"Modeling the demographic impact of HIV\/AIDS in South Africa and the likely impact of interventions"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-14","unstructured":"Johnson,L. (2004). An introduction to the mathematics of HIV modeling."},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-15","year":"2010","journal-title":"New HIV infections by mode of transmission in West Africa: A multi-country analysis"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/QAI.0b013e31825d279a"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"575","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-642-58891-4_91","article-title":"Strategic Investment in HIV\/AIDS Control Programmes: A System-Dynamics-Based Economic Evaluation.","volume":"1997","author":"R.Marion","year":"1998","journal-title":"Operations Research Proceedings"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-18","unstructured":"Ministry of Health. (2010). Guide de Prise en Charge Globale des PVVIH en C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire, Minist\u00e8re de la Sant\u00e9 et de l\u2019hygi\u00e8ne Publique (National Guidelines for HIV\/AIDS case management. Cote d\u2019Ivoire)."},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-19","unstructured":"Repenning, N. (1998). Formulating models of simple systems. MIT. Retrieved from http:\/\/ocw.mit.edu\/courses\/sloan-school-of-management\/15-988-system-dynamics-self-study-fall-1998-spring-1999\/readings\/formulating.pdf"},{"issue":"9782","key":"IJSDA.2016010104-20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2031","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(11)60702-2","article-title":"Towards an improved investment approach for an effective response to HIV\/AIDS.","volume":"377","author":"Schwartl\u00e4nder","year":"2011","journal-title":"Lancet"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-21","author":"J.Sterman","year":"2000","journal-title":"Business Dynamics: Systems thinking and modeling for a complex World"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/41166098"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-23","unstructured":"UNAIDS. (2014). Narrative Report. Retrieved from http:\/\/www.unaids.org\/en\/dataanalysis\/knowyourresponse\/countryprogressreports\/2014countries\/CIV_narrative_report_2014.pdf"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-24","unstructured":"Walker et al. (2001). Methods and procedures for estimating HIV\/AIDS and its impact: the UNAIDS\/WHO estimates for the end 2001."},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/00002030-200310170-00010"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-26","unstructured":"World Health Organization. (2015). HIV\/AIDS Fact sheet. Retrieved from http:\/\/www.who.int\/mediacentre\/factsheets\/fs360\/en\/"},{"key":"IJSDA.2016010104-27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/3181000"}],"container-title":["International Journal of System Dynamics Applications"],"original-title":[],"language":"ng","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/www.igi-global.com\/viewtitle.aspx?TitleId=144735","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2022,6,1]],"date-time":"2022-06-01T13:43:33Z","timestamp":1654091013000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/services.igi-global.com\/resolvedoi\/resolve.aspx?doi=10.4018\/IJSDA.2016010104"}},"subtitle":["Evidence-Based Policy Design for HIV\/AIDS Response Programs in C\u00f4te d'Ivoire"],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2016,1,1]]},"references-count":28,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2016,1]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.4018\/ijsda.2016010104","relation":{},"ISSN":["2160-9772","2160-9799"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2160-9772","type":"print"},{"value":"2160-9799","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2016,1,1]]}}}