{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,13]],"date-time":"2026-08-13T20:31:09Z","timestamp":1786653069219,"version":"build-2736575974"},"reference-count":30,"publisher":"Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)","issue":"2","content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Ann Afr Med"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2015]]},"DOI":"10.4103\/1596-3519.149892","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2015,1,22]],"date-time":"2015-01-22T04:10:48Z","timestamp":1421899848000},"page":"89","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":12,"title":["Development of a time-trend model for analyzing and predicting case-pattern of Lassa fever epidemics in Liberia, 2013-2017"],"prefix":"10.4103","volume":"14","author":[{"given":"BabasolaO","family":"Olugasa","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"EugeneA","family":"Odigie","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mike","family":"Lawani","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"JohnsonF","family":"Ojo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"276","reference":[{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-1","first-page":"335","volume-title":"Lassa fever (arenaviruses) as a public health problem","author":"Fabiyi","year":"1976","journal-title":"Bull Pan Am Health Organ"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-2","first-page":"780","volume-title":"Clinical presentation of Lassa fever cases during the hospital epidemic at Zorzor, Liberia, March-April 1972","author":"Mertens","year":"1973","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-3","first-page":"1271","volume-title":"Lassa fever: Epidemiology, clinical features, and social consequences","author":"Richmond","year":"2003","journal-title":"BMJ"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-4","first-page":"829","volume-title":"Case-control study of Mastomys natalensis and humans in Lassa virus-infected households in Sierra Leone","author":"Keenlyside","year":"1983","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-5","first-page":"1971","volume-title":"Mastomys natalensis and Lassa fever, West Africa","author":"Lecompte","year":"2006","journal-title":"Emerg Infect Dis"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-6","first-page":"773","volume-title":"A hospital epidemic of Lassa fever in Zorzor, Liberia, March-April 1972","author":"Monath","year":"1973","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-7","first-page":"402","volume-title":"Lassa fever.Epidemiological aspects of the 1970 epidemic, Jos, Nigeria","author":"Carey","year":"1972","journal-title":"Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-8","first-page":"857","volume-title":"Review of cases of nosocomial Lassa fever in Nigeria: The high price of poor medical practice","author":"Fisher-Hoch","year":"1995","journal-title":"BMJ"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Bond N, Schieffelin JS, Moses LM, Bennett AJ, Bausch DG. A historical look at the first reported cases of lassa fever: IgG antibodies 40 years after acute infection. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2012.","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.2012.12-0466"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Fichet-Calvet E. Lassa fever: A rodent-human interaction. In: Johnson N (Ed.) The Role of Animals in Emerging Viral Diseases. Ch. 5. Elsevier Academic Press, San Diego CA, USA; 2014. p. 89-123.","DOI":"10.1016\/B978-0-12-405191-1.00005-3"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-11","first-page":"437","volume-title":"A prospective study of the epidemiology and ecology of Lassa fever","author":"McCormick","year":"1987","journal-title":"J Infect Dis"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-12","first-page":"103","volume-title":"New opportunities for field research on the pathogenesis and treatment of Lassa fever","author":"Khan","year":"2008","journal-title":"Antiviral Res"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-13","unstructured":"Olugasa BO, Dogba JB. Mapping of Lassa fever cases in post-conflict Liberia, 2008-2012: A descriptive and categorical analysis of age, gender and seasonal pattern. Ann Afr Med. [In press; accepted 24 Jul 2014]."},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Olugasa BO, Dogba JB, Nykoi JD, Ogunro BN, Odigie EA, Ojo JF, et al. The rubber plantation environment and Lassa fever epidemics in Liberia, 2008-2012: A spatial regression. Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol 2014;11:163-74. http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1016\/j.sste.2014.04.005.","DOI":"10.1016\/j.sste.2014.04.005"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-15","first-page":"43","volume-title":"Lassa fever in West Africa: Evidence for an expanded region of endemicity","author":"Sogoba","year":"2012","journal-title":"Zoonoses Public Health"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-16","first-page":"621","volume-title":"Pattern of spread of African swine fever in South-western Nigeria, 1997-2005","author":"Olugasa","year":"2007","journal-title":"Vet Ital"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-17","first-page":"35","volume-title":"Epizootiology in contemporary global health: Making a difference in the health of people in West Africa","author":"Olugasa","year":"2011","journal-title":"Niger J Epidemiol"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-18","first-page":"70","volume-title":"It is over three decades of graduate education in Epizootiology at the University of Ibadan, Nigeria (1975-2011): Is there a need to revise the curriculum?","author":"Olugasa","year":"2012","journal-title":"Pan Afr Med J"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-19","first-page":"9","volume-title":"The brewing storm","author":"Kaplan","year":"2009","journal-title":"Vet Ital"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-20","unstructured":"WHO. Communicable disease toolkit for Sierra Leone: Case definitions. World Health Organization Communicable Diseases Working Group on Emergencies. WHO\/CDS\/2004.25. p. 1-7. Available from: http:\/\/www.who.int\/infectious-disease-news\/IDdocs\/whocds200425\/4SLCaseDefinitions.pdf. [Last accessed on 2013 Dec 08]."},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-21","unstructured":"Shangodoyin DK, Ojo JF. Elements of Time Series Analysis. Ibadan: Rashmed Publication; 2002. p. 130."},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-22","first-page":"56","volume-title":"Time and trend plots: Application to HIV\/AIDS data","author":"Ojo","year":"2010","journal-title":"J Sci Technol Res"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-23","first-page":"1","volume-title":"Time and trend plots: Application to aggregate mean of water pollutants discharged in streams and rivers in Ibadan Southwest Nigeria","author":"Ojo","year":"2012","journal-title":"Cont J Appl Sci"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-24","unstructured":"Kulldorff M. SatScan v9.1.1. Software for the spatial and space-time scan statistics. Silver Spring, Maryland, USA: Information Management Services, Inc.; 2011. Available from: http:\/\/www.satscan.org\/download.html. [Last accessed on 2012 Sep 18]."},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-25","unstructured":"Esuruoso GO, Ijagbone IF, Olugasa BO. Introductory Epizootiology. 2 nd ed. Ibadan: Vet Academic Publishers and Consultants, Ibadan, Printed by GLJ Press; 2005. p. 322."},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-26","unstructured":"World Health Organization (WHO). Disease Surveillance and Response Outbreak Bulletin Vol. 4. No. 1; 2014.Available\u200afrom: http:\/\/www.afro.who.int [Last accessed on 2014 Jul 02]."},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-27","first-page":"811","volume-title":"A serological survey of Lassa fever in Liberia","author":"Bloch","year":"1978","journal-title":"Bull World Health Organ"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Yalley-Ogunro JE, Frame JD, Hanson AP. Endemic Lassa fever in Liberia. VI. Village serological surveys for evidence of Lassa virus activity in Lofa county, Liberia. Am J Trop Med Hyg 1984;78:764-70.","DOI":"10.1016\/0035-9203(84)90013-0"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-29","first-page":"209","volume-title":"Hemorrhagic fever virus infections in an isolated rainforest area of central Liberia.Limitations of the indirect immunofluorescence slide test for antibody screening in Africa","author":"Van","year":"1986","journal-title":"Trop Geogr Med"},{"key":"key-10.4103\/1596-3519.149892-30","first-page":"408","volume-title":"Pediatric Lassa fever: A review of 33 Liberian cases","author":"Monson","year":"1987","journal-title":"Am J Trop Med Hyg"}],"container-title":["Annals of African Medicine"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,13]],"date-time":"2026-08-13T19:30:51Z","timestamp":1786649451000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/www.ovid.com\/10.4103\/1596-3519.149892"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2015]]},"references-count":30,"journal-issue":{"issue":"2","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2015]]}},"alternative-id":["149892"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.4103\/1596-3519.149892","relation":{},"ISSN":["1596-3519"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1596-3519","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2015]]}}}