{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,28]],"date-time":"2026-02-28T06:59:37Z","timestamp":1772261977862,"version":"3.50.1"},"posted":{"date-parts":[[2020,8,4]]},"group-title":"Volcanic Hazards","reference-count":0,"publisher":"Copernicus GmbH","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,8,4]],"date-time":"2020-08-04T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1596499200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"abstract":"<jats:p>Abstract. The Azores is an active volcanic region that offers exceptional conditions for nature-based tourism, one of the main axes of economic growth in this region. A future volcanic eruption in the archipelago may have long-term consequences to this economic sector. Therefore, it is fundamental to assess its vulnerability to volcanic hazards in order to try to mitigate the associated risk. This study proposes a new approach to assess the economic impact of explosive eruptions on the tourism sector. We considered two eruptive scenarios for Fogo volcano (S\u00e3o Miguel Island), the most probable (VEI 4 sub-Plinian eruption) and the worst-case (VEI 5 Plinian eruption), both producing tephra fallout and PDCs. The results of numerical simulations were overlaid with tourism-related buildings and infrastructure of Vila Franca do Campo municipality to identify the elements at risk. The Loss Present Value method was used to estimate the benefits generated by the accommodation units over 30 years for different economic scenarios. The assessment of the economic impact using 2018 indicators reveals that in a near total destruction scenario the economic loss is approximately 145 million euros. Such approach can also be adopted to other volcanic regions, other geologic hazards and other economic sectors.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.5194\/nhess-2020-239","type":"posted-content","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,8,4]],"date-time":"2020-08-04T02:14:53Z","timestamp":1596507293000},"source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Assessing the impact of explosive eruptions of Fogo volcano (S\u00e3o Miguel, Azores) on the tourism economy"],"prefix":"10.5194","author":[{"given":"Joana","family":"Medeiros","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6901-3326","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Rita","family":"Carmo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6954-387X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Adriano","family":"Pimentel","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Jos\u00e9 Cabral","family":"Vieira","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Gabriela","family":"Queiroz","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"3145","container-title":[],"original-title":[],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,1,31]],"date-time":"2025-01-31T11:35:29Z","timestamp":1738323329000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/nhess.copernicus.org\/articles\/21\/417\/2021\/nhess-21-417-2021-discussion.html"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2020,8,4]]},"references-count":0,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/nhess-2020-239","relation":{"has-comment":[{"id-type":"doi","id":"10.5194\/nhess-2020-239-AC1","asserted-by":"subject"},{"id-type":"doi","id":"10.5194\/nhess-2020-239-AC2","asserted-by":"subject"}],"has-review":[{"id-type":"doi","id":"10.5194\/nhess-2020-239-RC1","asserted-by":"subject"},{"id-type":"doi","id":"10.5194\/nhess-2020-239-RC2","asserted-by":"subject"}],"is-preprint-of":[{"id-type":"doi","id":"10.5194\/nhess-21-417-2021","asserted-by":"subject"},{"id-type":"doi","id":"10.5194\/nhess-21-417-2021","asserted-by":"object"}]},"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2020,8,4]]},"subtype":"preprint"}}