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Identifying the neural mechanisms underlying language acquisition in autism is therefore critical to inform early diagnosis, prognosis, and intervention strategies. In this study, we investigated two speech processing mechanisms previously identified as atypical in children and adults with autism: the neural ability to track syllables, and statistical learning, the capacity to detect speech regularities beneath surface variability. We recorded 83 longitudinal high-density electroencephalograms from 44 infants (2.5\u201322.6 months) at high (HL) and low (LL) likelihood for autism and assessed their verbal outcomes at 20 months. Neural entrainment was measured at syllable and word frequencies during exposure to a multi-speaker stream of concatenated tri-syllabic words, followed by a word recognition test using evoked response potential (ERP) recording. Our findings revealed reduced tracking abilities at the syllabic level in HL infants, a measure that correlated with verbal outcomes. While HL infants did not exhibit deficits in statistical learning itself, they displayed reduced novelty orientation during the word recognition test, indicated by a reduced late ERP. By contrast, multi-talker variability temporarily disrupted word segmentation around 12 months in LL infants, but not in HL infants, potentially reflecting decreased sensitivity to human voices variability in the HL group. These results emphasize the importance of longitudinal protocols employing online, implicit measures to track the hierarchical stages of speech processing in both HL and LL infants.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.7554\/elife.109901","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,12,31]],"date-time":"2025-12-31T14:30:15Z","timestamp":1767191415000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.7554\/elife.109901","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Infants at high and low likelihood for autism show different EEG developmental trajectories in speech tracking and statistical learning"],"prefix":"10.7554","volume":"14","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9789-3540","authenticated-orcid":true,"given":"Michel","family":"Godel","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"id":[{"id":"https:\/\/ror.org\/01swzsf04","id-type":"ROR","asserted-by":"publisher"}],"name":"Department of Psychiatry, University of Geneva School of Medicine","place":["Geneva, 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